Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Central Economic Work Conference: Next year, a more active fiscal policy will be implemented, the fiscal deficit ratio will be raised, and extra-long special government bonds will be issued. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. The meeting pointed out that it is necessary to maintain stable economic growth next year, maintain overall stability in employment and prices, maintain a basic balance of international payments, and promote the simultaneous growth of residents' income and economic growth. The meeting demanded that next year, we should persist in striving for progress in stability, promoting stability through progress, keeping integrity and innovation, establishing before breaking, system integration and coordination. It is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and secure the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. (CCTV News)
In the end, the "tax reduction month" is now or never. The bank will make a profit to open a personal pension account. "You can get a shopping reduction when you open an account!" Recently, an employee of a big bank said that near the end of the year, the bank's marketing efforts for individual pension accounts have increased significantly. In addition to shopping coupons, tax relief, etc., some institutions even sent "opening an account to send gold" benefits, which is full of eye-catching effects. Since the trial operation, the personal pension system has developed for two years, and the related wealth management products and the number of accounts opened have continued to increase, but the "cold deposit" is still in sharp contrast with the "hot account opening". Insiders suggest that residents' willingness to invest after opening an account can be enhanced by enriching the product system and adjusting the withdrawal system. On December 11th, a person familiar with the matter revealed that a number of commercial banks have recently been informed that the relevant departments will hold a video conference on the full implementation of the personal pension system in the middle of this month, or it is related to the full expansion of the implementation scope of the personal pension system-"fully opening the gate" is ready to come. (Securities Times)Peter Orsag, CEO of Lazard Financial Consultant: Geopolitical concerns are bringing more downside risks.Dollar deposits and wealth management are popular again. Experts suggest paying attention to exchange risk. Although it is in the cycle of interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, dollar deposit products are still attractive to investors. Since December, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have intensively put on shelves US dollar wealth management products. Judging from the rate of return, the performance benchmark of some US dollar fixed-income wealth management products currently launched is close to 5%, but the performance benchmark of RMB wealth management products with the same risk level is mostly around 2%. According to the statistics of Puyi standard data, as of December 9, there were 1,312 surviving products in US dollar financing, and the surviving scale of US dollar financing reached 281.927 billion yuan, which has doubled from the surviving scale of 140.351 billion yuan at the end of December last year. In addition, although banks have previously lowered the interest rate of dollar deposit products, from the current point of view, the interest rate of some banks' dollar deposits remains above 4%, attracting many customers to buy. According to industry insiders, under the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, the main reason for the high heat of dollar wealth management and dollar deposits is the exchange rate expectation of a strong dollar. If the market expects the US dollar to appreciate or remain stable, holding US dollar assets (such as US dollar wealth management and US dollar deposits) can benefit from the potential exchange rate appreciation even if interest rates fall. In addition, in order to diversify risks, some investors choose to allocate part of their funds to US dollar assets to realize diversification of asset allocation. (Securities Daily)
Ukraine plans to legalize cryptocurrency in early 2025. It is reported that cryptocurrency will be legalized in Ukraine by the first quarter of 2025, but it is unlikely to provide tax relief. Danylo Hetmantsev, Chairman of the Finance, Taxation and Customs Policy Committee of the Ukrainian Parliament, said: "When it comes to cryptocurrencies, the working group of the Parliament is completing the first reading of a draft law. I believe that the text worked out in cooperation with the National Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) will be ready after the New Year. Our goal is to pass this law and legalize cryptocurrency in the first quarter of 2025. " Hetmantsev said that cryptocurrency will not be tax-free, and the form of tax will follow the example of securities and tax profits when assets are converted into currency. "After consulting with European experts and the IMF, we are very cautious about using cryptocurrency for tax exemption, because it may aggravate tax evasion in traditional markets," he said.NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed down 0.74%, NASDAQ China Golden Dragon Index closed down 0.74%, most popular Chinese stocks fell, Tencent Music fell more than 5%, JD.COM fell more than 3%, Xpeng Motors fell more than 2%, and Bali, Weilai and Pinduoduo fell more than 1%. In terms of gains, Tiger Securities rose more than 3%, while Youdao and Gaotu rose more than 1%.Promoting Peace and Cooperation Ethiopia and Somalia signed the Ankara Declaration. On December 11th, local time, under the mediation of Turkish President Erdogan, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abi and Somali President Mahmoud signed the Ankara Declaration in Ankara, Turkey, announcing that they would promote peace and cooperation.
Strategy guide
12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide
12-14